EST. 2026 · REAL ESTATE INTELLIGENCE
Folio.
MON, MAY 11, 2026
3,794 ZIPS TRACKED
Real EstateArizonaNogales85621
ZIP Code Market Intelligence · Updated 2026-02-28

85621
Nogales, Arizona

Source: Redfin MLS · Folio PropIQ™ Intelligence
51PROPIQ™
Caution
Median Sale Price
$179K
↓ -23.8% year over year
Avg Days on Market
98d
Median to go under contract
Sold Above List
12%
of homes
Price Drops
N/A
of active listings
PropIQ™ Signal Breakdown
Price Momentum49
DOM Velocity0
Inventory Health14
Investment Signal100
School Trajectory70
Market Analysis

Nogales 85621 needs watching.

The 85621 ZIP code in Nogales, Arizona has a median sale price of $179K, down -23.8% year-over-year. Homes spend an average of 98 days on market, with 12% of homes selling above list price.

Folio's PropIQ™ score of 51 signals Caution conditions. Elevated price drops and longer days on market indicate softening in 85621.

Folio Market Intelligence Report · 85621AI ANALYSIS

The Nogales 85621 market shows significant price contraction, with the median sale price at $179,000 representing a 23.8% year-over-year decline. Properties average 98 days on market, indicating slower absorption than typical Arizona markets. Only 12% of homes sell above list price, confirming buyer leverage in negotiations. This price correction marks a substantial shift from prior market dynamics, with sellers now competing for a smaller buyer pool willing to transact at current valuations.

Price-sensitive buyers gain maximum advantage in these conditions, particularly those with financing secured and flexible timelines to capitalize on the 98-day market exposure window. The 23.8% annual decline creates entry points for investors seeking cash-flow rental properties at compressed valuations, assuming fundamentals support rent-to-price ratios. Sellers face difficult decisions with only one in eight properties commanding premiums, requiring aggressive pricing strategies or extended holding periods to achieve liquidity.

The PropIQ score of 51 signals continued caution, suggesting stabilization remains uncertain without demand catalysts or inventory reduction. The nearly three-month days-on-market figure indicates further price discovery may be necessary before equilibrium returns. Buyers should monitor whether the 12% above-list percentage increases, which would indicate absorption of distressed inventory and potential price floor establishment. Sequential monthly data will determine if this represents cyclical adjustment or structural repricing.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in 85621 Nogales?

The median sale price in 85621 is $179K, down -23.8% year-over-year as of 2026-02-28.

How long do homes stay on the market in Nogales 85621?

Homes in 85621 Nogales spend an average of 98 days on market before going under contract.

Is Nogales 85621 a good place to invest in real estate?

Folio's PropIQ™ score for 85621 is 51/100 — a Caution signal. 12% of homes sold above asking.

What does a PropIQ™ score of 51 mean for 85621?

PropIQ™ is Folio's proprietary market score combining price momentum, days-on-market velocity, inventory absorption, and investment signals into a 0–100 number. Score of 51 = Caution in 85621 Nogales, Arizona.

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