EST. 2026 · REAL ESTATE INTELLIGENCE
Folio.
MON, MAY 11, 2026
3,794 ZIPS TRACKED
Real EstateTexasWaco76638
ZIP Code Market Intelligence · Updated 2026-02-28

76638
Waco, Texas

Source: Redfin MLS · Folio PropIQ™ Intelligence
41PROPIQ™
Caution
Median Sale Price
$372K
↓ -37.3% year over year
Avg Days on Market
204d
Median to go under contract
Sold Above List
0%
of homes
Price Drops
N/A
of active listings
PropIQ™ Signal Breakdown
Price Momentum48
DOM Velocity0
Inventory Health0
Investment Signal100
School Trajectory70
Market Analysis

Waco 76638 needs watching.

The 76638 ZIP code in Waco, Texas has a median sale price of $372K, down -37.3% year-over-year. Homes spend an average of 204 days on market, with 0% of homes selling above list price.

Folio's PropIQ™ score of 41 signals Caution conditions. Elevated price drops and longer days on market indicate softening in 76638.

Folio Market Intelligence Report · 76638AI ANALYSIS

The 76638 ZIP code is experiencing significant price compression, with the median sale price settling at $371,500 after a 37.3% year-over-year decline. Homes are averaging 204 days on market, more than triple the typical selling timeline in balanced conditions. The complete absence of properties selling above list price indicates buyers maintain full negotiating leverage, with sellers unable to command premium positioning in current transactions.

This environment favors patient buyers with secure financing and extended search timelines, particularly those who can absorb the 204-day average marketing period if resale becomes necessary. The 37.3% price reduction creates entry points for cost-basis investors, though the extended DOM suggests weak rental demand or employment fundamentals that warrant scrutiny. Sellers face unfavorable conditions across all metrics, with zero pricing power and potentially months-long holding costs before transaction completion.

The PropIQ score of 41 signals deteriorating fundamentals that typically precede further price discovery or prolonged stagnation. With no homes achieving list price and inventory taking seven months to clear, the data suggests continued downward pressure until days-on-market compress below 120 or above-list sales return. Monitoring quarterly sale volume and employment data becomes critical, as the current 41 rating indicates structural issues beyond normal cyclical adjustment.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in 76638 Waco?

The median sale price in 76638 is $372K, down -37.3% year-over-year as of 2026-02-28.

How long do homes stay on the market in Waco 76638?

Homes in 76638 Waco spend an average of 204 days on market before going under contract.

Is Waco 76638 a good place to invest in real estate?

Folio's PropIQ™ score for 76638 is 41/100 — a Caution signal. 0% of homes sold above asking.

What does a PropIQ™ score of 41 mean for 76638?

PropIQ™ is Folio's proprietary market score combining price momentum, days-on-market velocity, inventory absorption, and investment signals into a 0–100 number. Score of 41 = Caution in 76638 Waco, Texas.

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